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2:00PM Water Cooler 3/27/2024 | bare capitalism

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By Lambert Strether of Corrente.

Fowl Tune of the Day

Purple-winged Blackbird (California Bicolored) Moonglow Dairy (Fri-Solar solely; closed Mon-Thur), Monterey, California, United States. “Refrain from a few of a gaggle of not less than 20 birds in a small hedgerow adjoining to a feedlot.” Love the “Moonglow Dairy” (with hours). Have any readers visited?

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Politics

“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in actual fact a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles

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2024

Lower than a 12 months to go!

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Trump (R) “Billionaires sought to assist fund Trump bond in civil fraud case, sources say” [Reuters]. “Billionaire hedge fund founder John Paulson was concerned within the behind-the-scenes effort by donors involved about Trump’s authorized woes and trying to assist present cash towards the bond, two of the sources informed Reuters. Oil and gasoline magnate Harold Hamm was additionally concerned, a type of sources stated… A fourth supply, a Trump ally, stated he had direct information of 1 donor who supplied greater than $10 million towards the bond over the weekend, earlier than being informed it was not essential. After Monday’s court docket determination permitting a smaller bond, Trump stated he would now have the ability to pay…. Surety firms would have doubtless required Trump to put up about $558 million in collateral for the unique bond, or 120% of the judgment, in line with Trump’s legal professionals. Full particulars of the billionaires’ efforts to boost funds, comparable to how a lot every donor had doubtlessly pledged, weren’t instantly out there. . It was not clear whether or not the mega-donors would supply to assist fund the brand new bond.” • Musical interlude.

Trump (R): “Trump’s New York hush cash case is ready for trial April 15” [Associated Press]. “Decide Juan M. Merchan scoffed on the protection’s calls to delay the case longer or throw it out fully due to a last-minute doc dump that had bumped the first-ever trial of a former president from its scheduled Monday begin. Trump vowed to attraction the ruling. Barring one other delay, the presumptive Republican nominee will probably be on trial as a legal defendant in simply three weeks — an inauspicious homecoming within the metropolis the place he grew up, constructed an actual property empire and gained wealth and movie star that propelled him to the White Home. The trial, involving allegations associated to hush cash paid throughout Trump’s 2016 marketing campaign to cowl up marital infidelity claims, had been in limbo after his legal professionals complained a few current deluge of almost 200,000 pages of proof from a earlier federal investigation into the matter.” 200,000 pages looks as if relatively lots. However: “Assistant District Lawyer Matthew Colangelo stated the variety of related, usable, new paperwork within the just lately offered proof ‘is sort of small’ — round 300 data or fewer. Trump’s legal professionals contend 1000’s of pages are doubtlessly necessary and require painstaking evaluate. They argued the delayed disclosures warranted dismissing the case or not less than pushing it off three months. ‘We aren’t doing our jobs if we don’t independently have a look at the brand new materials,’ Blanche informed the decide. ‘Each doc is necessary.’ The DA’s workplace denied wrongdoing and blamed Trump’s legal professionals for bringing the time crunch upon themselves by ready till Jan. 18 to subpoena the data from the U.S. legal professional’s workplace — a mere 9 weeks earlier than the trial was initially supposed to start out.”

Trump (R): “Trump’s media firm valued at nearly $8 bln in robust Wall St debut” [Reuters]. “Shares of Donald Trump’s Trump Media & Expertise Group surged as a lot as 59% on Tuesday of their Nasdaq debut, lifted by the previous U.S. president’s supporters and offering him a possible windfall as he grapples with the prices of a number of authorized instances.” • Helpful chart:

Arduous to see how that holds up.

Trump (R): “Trump is promoting ‘God Bless the USA’ Bibles for $59.99 as he faces mounting authorized payments” [Associated Press]. • Maybe God already did, and we squandered it:

(This animated model is all I can discover.)

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Trump (R): “Forensic psychiatrist on bodily indicators of Trump’s psychological decline: “Modifications in motion and gait” [Salon]. “Dr. John Gartner, a outstanding psychologist and contributor to the bestselling ebook ‘The Harmful Case of Donald Trump: 27 Psychiatrists and Psychological Well being Specialists Assess a President,’ has repeatedly warned in a sequence of conversations about Trump’s obvious challenges in cognition and communication that one thing appears to be very unsuitable with the ex-president… Dr. Gartner’s makes an attempt to sound the alarm about Trump’s conduct have been joined by the tons of of medical professionals who’ve signed his Change.org petition, ‘We diagnose Trump with possible dementia: A petition for licensed professionals solely.’ To disclaim the plain about Donald Trump’s evidently diseased thoughts is to disclaim actuality and to disregard the true chance {that a} man who’s already morally and ethically corrupt and now seems to be experiencing issues together with his considering could possibly be again within the White Home with the superior accountability and energy of the presidency – together with the only real authority to order the usage of America’s nuclear weapons. Trump’s thoughts and total conduct and character are usually not only a nationwide emergency however a world disaster as nicely. Due to a dedication to horserace journalism, pretend objectivity and stability, self-interest and concern, the mainstream American information media – particularly the elite agenda-setting information media – has largely ignored Donald Trump’s apparent struggles with communication and cognition.” • Two can play the armchair analysis sport. I’m solely shocked that the Democrats havnen’t performed it for Kennedy already. This man’s actually churning it out–

Trump (R): “‘Hastening his deterioration’: Dr. John Gartner on influence of court docket trials on ‘Trump’s fragile mind’” [Salon]. • Be aware that if that is an express rationale for lawfare, it’s much more cynical than I might have imagined, and I do strive.

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Biden (D): “Preventing for”:

I can’t be the one one who sees how dumb that trope is. However I suppose it’s focus-grouped, so, oh nicely. (In the meantime, why on earth isn’t Medicaid property restoration on that record?)

Biden (D): “The Biden Marketing campaign Is Quietly Making ready a Trump Ambush” [The Daily Beast] “‘It’s aggressive,’ a supply inside the Biden marketing campaign stated, requesting anonymity to talk candidly of the temper contained in the re-election group. ‘There’s numerous journey, there’s numerous work. It’s all thrilling. We’re heading into this ultimate fundraiser of the month with the previous presidents [Obama and Clinton], nevertheless it’s aggressive.’ Profiting from a considerable fundraising lead, the Biden marketing campaign is specializing in two key areas: journey and organizing. Since his State of the Union, Biden has visited each main battleground state… Trump, alternatively, has solely performed a rally in Ohio and one other within the battleground state of Georgia since Tremendous Tuesday… Second, the Biden marketing campaign goes full steam forward on hiring within the battleground states, approaching 100 area places of work with greater than 130 staffers unfold throughout eight main battleground states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada, in addition to North Carolina and New Hampshire… Chris LaCivita—a high Trump marketing campaign adviser who can be the chief working officer of the Republican Nationwide Committee—rejected the concept that the previous president’s group ought to disclose its organizing plans. ‘By combining forces and operations, The Trump marketing campaign and RNC are deploying operations which can be fueled by passionate volunteers who care about saving America and firing Joe Biden. We don’t really feel obligated nevertheless to debate the specifics of our technique, timing and ways with members of the Information Media,’ LaCivita informed The Every day Beast.” • LaCivita’s onto one thing there….

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Kennedy (I):

She definitely seems to be assured on the podium (I at all times have a look at folks’s toes; she has a robust stance). And examine her to the competitors. Harris? Shanahan seems to be fairly good. Whoever Trump’s contemplating lately, like Rubio? I need to admit I hoped for an actual populist… However who’s on that brief record?. We’ll should see how she does on the path. Fairly the profession change for a former patent legal professional.

Kennedy (I): “Biden and Trump know Kennedy’s VP alternative is a sport changer” [The Hill]. “The 38-year-old Shanahan has a outstanding life story. She grew up on welfare, is Asian-American, a lawyer, the California-based founder and president of Bia-Echo Basis — a nonprofit that points grants for points together with reproductive rights, equality, legal justice reform and the setting — is a single mom to a daughter with autism and is the previous spouse of Google cofounder Sergey Brin. Except for her entrepreneurial background, excessive power and intelligence, Shanahan instantly amplifies or outright fills a number of wants of the Kennedy marketing campaign. She will be able to converse on to feminine voters, the high-tech neighborhood, younger voters, minority voters, the working poor, the disenfranchised — and dissatisfied Democrats. Shanahan additionally instantly checks one other essential field for Kennedy: A number of states require an introduced vice-presidential operating mate to get on the poll. With Shanahan now on the ticket, it can create each media consideration and elevated momentum inside these states.”

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I’m right here for it:

Lastly, any individual asks for my vote (hat tip Martin Oline). Strategies for Vice President? “Meteor Strike”?

Spook Nation

The organs of state safety converse:

Mentioned each voyeur, hidden digicam AirBnB host, and upskirt photographer ever. And each spook, after all.

The Wizard of Kalorama™

“Obama making common calls to Biden’s chief of employees, fears Trump 2024 win: report” [FOX]. “Obama’s calls with Zients and high aides at Biden’s marketing campaign reportedly focus on election technique and relaying recommendation from Obama’s group. A senior aide on Obama’s group informed the Instances that the previous president has “at all times” been involved a few Trump victory, and he’s now working to bolster the Biden marketing campaign any approach he can…. The supply added that Biden additionally has frequent discussions with former President Clinton, and he has aides comply with up with each of the previous leaders’ groups regularly. [TIME Magazine] reported that Obama met personally with Biden on not less than two current events and expressed concern that he may lose the 2024 election. Obama reportedly suggested Biden to change into extra aggressive and make the upcoming presidential race a referendum on Trump. Throughout a non-public lunch, Obama informed Biden his marketing campaign was unstable, persuading sad voters could be a problem and defeating Trump could be harder than 2020, in line with a Democrat briefed on the dialogue. A spokesperson for Obama’s workplace highlighted the group’s unity behind Biden in an announcement to Fox Information Digital final week, saying the Obama Alumni Affiliation hosted an occasion for Biden’s re-election marketing campaign, throughout which attendees chanted, ‘Fired up, able to go,’ in help of the president.” • “Fired up, able to go” I bear in mind listening to — nicely, studying — that chant on Every day Kos again in 2008, and considering how doomed all of us have been (this was after a number of experiences with Obots calling me a racist as solely their second transfer after I expressed skepticism about Obama).

Realignment and Legitimacy

Republican realignment:

Attention-grabbing. Readers, ideas?

A tragedy:

And I don’t imply “tragedy” mockingly or frivolously. “There stays, then, the character between these two extremes— that of a person who isn’t eminently good and simply, but whose misfortune is led to not by vice or depravity, however by some error or frailty. He have to be one who is extremely famend and affluent—a personage like Oedipus, Thyestes, or different illustrious males of such households.”

#COVID19

“I’m in earnest — I can’t equivocate — I can’t excuse — I can’t retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison

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Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; contains many counties; Wastewater Scan, contains drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Common Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).

Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the deal with given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!

ake impact by summer time. The transfer by the Democratic administration angered board members, who known as it a ‘last-minute stunt’ that undermines their regulatory course of. It additionally sparked a protest by warehouse staff, who quickly shut down the assembly as they waved indicators declaring that ‘Warmth Kills!’ and loudly chanted, ‘What do we wish? Warmth safety! When do we wish it? Now!’” • Gavin Newsom, the employee’s good friend.

Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater experiences); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).

Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).

Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).

Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).

Keep secure on the market!

* * *

An infection

“Is It Harmful to Preserve Getting COVID-19?” [Time]. From January 2024: “Dr. Ziyad Al-Aly, medical epidemiologist at Washington College in St. Louis, research Lengthy COVID: a situation marked by well being results that linger after an infection. ‘Reinfection stays consequential,’ he says. In a paper printed in Nature Drugs in 2022, he discovered that individuals who had gotten COVID-19 not less than twice skilled increased charges of short- and long-term well being results, together with coronary heart, lung, and mind points, in comparison with those that have been solely contaminated as soon as.” • Al-Aly was additionally outstanding on the current Senate Lengthy Covid hearings. I’m made considerably extra optimistic than readers may count on by seeing the press diverge from the standard knowledge of denial and minimization so inspired by the general public well being institution. Be aware additionally the hyperlink to the entire, free article in Nature; the a lot maligned medical publishing trade deserves numerous credit score for open-sourcing a lot of their Covid materials; and right here is Al-Aly’s article, doing the nice work is was meant to do.

Sequelae

“BioTRUST Diet launches Everlasting Thoughts for cognitive help” [Nutraceutical Business Review]. “The novel product options PLT’s Nutricog Cognitive Efficiency Advanced, an ingredient that has been clinically demonstrated to offer vital enhancements throughout a number of cognitive domains, together with studying, reminiscence, consideration, focus and govt perform.” • I’m not endorsing this product [shudder]. I’m questioning whether or not there’s an upsurge in merchandise like this, since it appears that evidently could be a great proxy for folks’s self-perceived lack of cognitive perform, attributable to Covid an infection. Can readers recommend a analysis technique right here?

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TABLE 1: Every day Covid Charts

LEGEND

1) ★ for charts new at the moment; all others are usually not up to date.

2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”

NOTES

[1] (Biobot) Our curve has now flattened out on the stage of earlier Trump peaks. Not a fantastic victory. Be aware additionally the world “underneath the curve,” in addition to taking a look at peaks. That space is bigger underneath Biden than underneath Trump, and it appears to be rising steadily if inconsistently.

[2] (Biobot) Backward revisions, I hate them.

[3] (CDC Variants) As of Might 11, genomic surveillance knowledge will probably be reported biweekly, based mostly on the supply of optimistic check specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice per week; semiweekly.” Seems to be like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.

[4] (ER) “Charts and knowledge offered by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous 12 months, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.”

[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Seems to be like a really gradual leveling off to a non-zero baseline, to me.

[6] (Hospitalization: CDC) Nonetheless down. “Maps, charts, and knowledge offered by CDC, updates weekly for the earlier MMWR week (Sunday-Saturday) on Thursdays (Deaths, Emergency Division Visits, Check Positivity) and weekly the next Mondays (Hospitalizations) by 8 pm ET†”.

[7] (Walgreens) Leveling out.

[8] (Cleveland) Flattening.

[9] (Vacationers: Posivitity) Now up, albeit within the rear view mirror.

[10] (Vacationers: Variants) JN.1 dominates totally.

Stats Watch

There aren’t any official statistics of curiosity at the moment.

* * *

Manufacturing: “Subsequent Boeing CEO must be ‘1,000%’ on high of security and tradition: Buttigieg” [Washington Examiner]. “White Home officers said on March 15 that the Federal Aviation Administration and the Nationwide Transportation Security Board have been ‘taking the motion’ to make sure that Boeing airplanes are secure to fly on sooner or later. Nevertheless, they didn’t make clear if President Joe Biden believes that Boeing planes are secure for customers proper now.” • Oh. Good to see Petey taking level on the difficulty, although.

Manufacturing: “Media blackout of “suicide” of Boeing whistleblower John Barnett continues as firm CEO David Calhoun steps down” [WSWS]. “That there’s subsequent to no point out of Barnett, his swimsuit, or his dying within the company media is by design. Boeing is already dealing with a public backlash from its near-catastrophes, in addition to renewed concentrate on the deaths of 346 folks on 737 Max 8 crashes in October 2018 and March 2019. Quite a few memes have appeared on social media ridiculing the flight capabilities of the corporate’s plane, and choices to exclude flights on Boeing planes are among the many hottest choices on journey web sites…. To acknowledge that Boeing is so concretely uncovered would additional undermine its already precarious place. Boeing’s inventory is down nearly 26 p.c from the start of the 12 months, and the only real concern of those that personal the foremost media shops, a lot of whom have inventory in Boeing, is pumping Boeing’s shares again as much as their December heights and past… In different phrases, ‘the repair is in’ for Boeing’s present slate of points. Not one of the multimillionaires who oversaw and drove the systematic violation of security requirements and procedures will probably be held accountable. As previously, the Republicans, the Democrats and the regulatory businesses, all of that are proxies for the company oligarchy, will do their greatest to bury the reality, whatever the hazard to human life.”

Manufacturing: “The CEO of Ryanair says the airline would frequently discover lacking seat handles and instruments underneath floorboards on Boeing planes” [Business Insider]. • And also you stored shopping for their planes?

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* * *

Right this moment’s Concern & Greed Index: 68 Greed (earlier shut: 67 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 74 (Greed). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Mar 27 at 1:55:00 PM ET.

Zeitgeist Watch

“Sean ‘Diddy’ Combs faces sweeping sex-trafficking inquiry: What the feds have, must show” [Los Angeles Times]. “Regulation enforcement sources informed The Instances that Combs is the topic of a sweeping inquiry into sex-trafficking allegations that resulted in a federal raid Monday at his estates in Los Angeles and Miami. Authorities have declined to touch upon the case, and Combs has not been charged with any crime. However the scene of dozens of Division of Homeland Safety brokers — weapons drawn — looking out Combs’ properties underscored the seriousness of the investigation.”

“Diddy and his personal jet shrouded in thriller as each have vanished following raids on rapper’s properties” [New York Post]. “Diddy has seemingly disappeared — and so has his jet. Across the identical time as raids on his homes in California and Florida on Monday, the rapper and report firm mogul was noticed frantically speaking on his telephone at Opa Locka Airport in Miami. It has since emerged that one in every of Diddy’s staff, Brendon Paul, 25, had simply been stopped on the airport and arrested on drug costs by Miami-Dade police.”

Holier than Thou

“Dallas megachurch pastor T.D. Jakes named in lawsuit towards Sean ‘Diddy’ Combs” [Gazette Extra]. “In November 2022, Jakes attended Combs’ 53rd party, a consultant for Jakes confirmed to The Christian Publish, and video of him on the celebration was criticized on social media. Derrick Williams, govt vice chairman of leisure at T.D. Jakes Enterprises, informed The Christian Publish in December 2023 that he attended Combs’ party with Jakes. ‘We each greeted the household, Bishop Jakes recorded a quick celebratory birthday video and left instantly to take our different scheduled conferences. Any accusation on the contrary is wholly unsubstantiated, unverified, and false.’ In 2021, Jakes partnered with Revolt Media, a cable TV community co-founded by Combs, for an ongoing sermon sequence known as ‘Kingdom Tradition with T.D. Jakes.’ Combs stepped down as chair of Revolt Media in November 2023 and reportedly offered his stake within the firm this week.”

Information of the Wired

“Two nights of damaged sleep could make folks really feel years older, finds examine” [Guardian]. “The researchers ran two research. Within the first, 429 folks aged 18 to 70 answered questions on how previous they felt and on what number of nights, if any, they’d slept badly previously month. Their sleepiness was additionally rated in line with a typical scale utilized in psychology analysis. For every day of poor sleep the volunteers felt on common three months older, the scientists discovered, whereas those that reported no unhealthy nights within the previous month felt on common almost six years youthful than their true age. It was unclear, nevertheless, whether or not unhealthy sleep made folks really feel older or vice versa. Within the second examine, the researchers quizzed 186 volunteers aged 18 to 46 on how previous they felt after two nights of plentiful sleep, wherein they stayed in mattress for 9 hours every night time, and two nights once they slept for under 4 hours an evening. After two nights of restricted sleep, the members felt on common 4.44 years older than once they had ample sleep. Feeling older was linked, unsurprisingly, to feeling sleepier. ‘If you wish to really feel younger, crucial factor is to guard your sleep,’ Balter stated. Writing in Proceedings of the Royal Society B, the psychologists describe variations in folks’s responses to sleep loss relying on whether or not they have been a morning individual, who woke and went to mattress early, or a night one who rose late and retired late. Night varieties sometimes felt older than their true age even after loads of sleep, however morning varieties have been hit tougher in how previous they felt when their sleep was disrupted.” • Completely night individual right here. And it’s true that after I labored the night time shift (“the lobster shift,” why?) it was lots harder. I’d stroll residence from the mill, cease for breakfast, after which fall asleep. It wasn’t simple.

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Contact info for crops: Readers, be happy to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a examine in case you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me pictures of crops. Greens are positive! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! If you need your deal with to seem as a credit score, please place it at first of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From lcm:

lcm writes: “Seed heads of goldenrod.”

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Right here is the display screen that can seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:

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