2:00PM Water Cooler 3/19/2024 | bare capitalism

By Lambert Strether of Corrente.

Readers, I’m touring right now. This Water Cooler is a bit gentle, as a result of I’m posting it in a window of connectivity. –lambert

Chicken Tune of the Day

Sadly, Cornell Ornithology Lab is having a deliberate outage. No hen track right now. –lambert

“Birding for Lengthy-Haulers” [Ed Yong, The Ed’s Up]. My favourite birding moments typically contain stillness. I stand in entrance of a single tree, watching a conveyor belt of warblers passing by. I sit at a shoreline, scanning by way of giant teams of foraging shorebirds. I lean in opposition to my automobile at evening, listening for owls within the darkness. At these occasions, with my physique rooted and my senses absolutely engaged, I really feel a peculiar mix of serenity and adrenaline, of presentism and disconnection. And through one such second, I believed: This may be excellent for folks with lengthy COVID… I began questioning if I may share the pastime that has turn out to be so restorative to me with the group that has turn out to be so vital to me. Birding may broaden the world that lengthy COVID has contracted. It may provide long-haulers the therapeutic advantages of being outside and immersing in nature. It may salve a few of the solitude that power sickness brings, providing social time in an out of doors setting with low threat of respiratory an infection. It may be executed with comparatively low bodily or cognitive calls for, minimizing the possibilities of triggering a PEM crash.” • A really hopeful submit!

In Case You May Miss…

(1) Boeing story isn’t precisely advancing….

(2) World elites kind mind genius membership.

(3) The science and artwork of hen sexing.

Politics

“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in reality a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles

Capitol Seizure

“Newly obtained video reveals motion of group suspected of setting up Jan. 6 gallows hours earlier than Capitol siege” [CBS]. “Newly obtained [how and from whom?] video reveals motion of group suspected of setting up Jan. 6 gallows hours earlier than Capitol siege. The individuals who erected the notorious gallows and noose on the west entrance of the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, started their work within the predawn hours that day, based on newly launched movies obtained [how and from whom?] by CBS Information… Surveillance footage shared [by whom?] with CBS Information reveals the brazenness of the work behind the gallows and noose.” • Whoever “shared” the movies to CBS was a bit sluggish transferring, sure?

2024

Lower than a 12 months to go!

* * *

Trump (R): “‘Arbitrary Enforcement’ of Federal Regulation Roils Categorised Paperwork Case” [Julie Kelly]. Jack Smith’s Florida case. “[Judge Aileen] Cannon repeatedly requested either side for examples of prison prosecution for ‘different officers who did the identical.’ She questioned the ‘arbitrary enforcement’ of the espionage statute, forcing the federal government to confess that no different former president or vice chairman has confronted prison prosecution for conserving comparable paperwork and failing to return them. ‘This speaks to the arbitrary enforcement…that includes on this case,’ Cannon informed Bratt. Cannon additionally pushed again on claims Trump ought to have anticipated to face prosecution for storing categorised recordsdata. As soon as once more noting no former president or vice chairman—Mike Pence additionally found categorised data after Trump was indicted in 2023—has been charged, Cannon instructed it was honest for Trump to anticipate the identical remedy since ‘no historic precedent’ is on the books. ‘Provided that panorama,’ Cannon continued, Trump may argue he has been unfairly focused. Which his crew already has. In a movement emailed to the court docket and the federal government final month, Trump’s attorneys requested to dismiss the case primarily based on ‘‘ Though the movement will not be public, Jack Smith shortly responded to defend the Division of Justice’s option to pursue Trump and never Biden. ‘,’ Smith wrote in a March 7 response. ‘Second, the proof in regards to the two males’s intent—whether or not they knowingly possessed and willfully retained such paperwork—is starkly totally different.’ In an virtually comical passage, Smith admits Biden unlawfully retained categorised data—simply not as many as Trump. ‘Biden possessed 88 paperwork bearing classification markings, together with 18 marked High Secret. In contrast, Trump possessed 337 paperwork bearing classification markings, together with 64 marked High Secret. Ah okay. So Biden was just a bit bit pregnant…” • I’m undecided that “selective and vindictive prosecution” flies as a matter of regulation. As a matter of politics? I believe so.

* * *

Biden (D): “Biden seeks to reinvigorate various coalition in vital 2024 marketing campaign swing out West” [CNN]. “Arizona and Nevada may see abortion rights provisions on ‘Nevadans and Arizonans are gathering signatures for poll initiative to provide voters the chance to guard abortion entry of their states’ structure in 2024. Nevada is likely one of the most pro-choice states within the nation. And the overwhelming majority of Arizonans help abortion entry, as effectively,’ Dan Kanninen, the Biden marketing campaign’s battleground states director, stated.” • Does anyone consider that if the Democrats gained the Presidency and each homes of Congess, that they’d codify Roe?

Biden (D): “Democrats urge marketing campaign to ‘let Biden be Biden’ as polling strain mounts” [Washington Examiner]. “The Biden marketing campaign defended the president’s smaller occasions final week in Michigan and Wisconsin, despite the fact that an absence of planning [ha ha] meant reporters touring with him couldn’t hear him throughout his Saginaw, Michigan, cease. A marketing campaign aide described the occasions as alternatives for Biden to talk and join with supporters and voters in “a really private” capability, one that may be amplified on social media afterward. ‘The crowds in Milwaukee and Saginaw have been thrilled to see the president,’ the aide stated. ‘They have been fired up, and the president was, in flip, thrilled to see them, and he was fired up. I believe everybody acquired a handshake. ” • Oh. So that’s how they consider us.

* * *

Kennedy (I):

About two weeks from now, shortly after RFK Jr has introduced his operating mate, poll entry home windows will open in 23 states (WA, OR, ID, ND, SD, KS, OK, IA, AR, LA, IN, OH, KY, TN, AL, FL, VA, PA, NJ, CT, MA, VT, and ME)!

Are you able to be part of this tidal wave? Undecided…

— Peace-loving Impartial 🌺🌎🕊️💗⚖️🌺 (@CRLady2016) March 18, 2024

I can’t for the “poll entry home windows,” however a nationwide motion to get a candidate on the poll could be interesiting.

* * *

“An important Senate main of the 12 months is only one of right now’s elections” [Politico]. “Ohio Senate candidate Bernie Moreno … has spent the ultimate days of the carefully contested GOP main making an attempt to maneuver shortly previous an Related Press story about an account on an grownup web site that he says was created by an intern in 2008…. Moreno is locked in a aggressive, three-way race for the nomination to face Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown in what could possibly be the decisive contest for management of the Senate. There’s little in the best way of dependable, impartial polling, although most observers see Moreno and self-funding state Sen. Matt Dolan — who’s operating in a extra average lane — as the highest contenders, with Secretary of State Frank LaRose a tier under. Trump is placing his political capital behind Moreno, trekking to Ohio for a weekend rally simply 48 hours after the AP story was printed. He reportedly scheduled the journey the week earlier than the first after polling confirmed Moreno had not locked down the nomination regardless of Trump’s long-standing endorsement.” 2024 – 2008 = 16 years in the past? That’s some well-funded oppo — which I don’t image AP as taking the lead in, often. Can any Ohio readers remark?

The Wizard of Kalorama™

“Thriller as Barack Obama noticed exterior No10 Downing Road for unannounced go to” [The MIrror]. “Mr Obama smiled and waved at photographers earlier than he entered No 10 shortly after 3pm. Downing Road later stated Mr Obama – who has not visited No10 since leaving workplace – was making an ‘casual courtesy drop-in’ whereas within the UK capital. The ex-President, who served within the White Home from 2009 to 2017, was seen leaving round an hour later with US ambassador Jane Hartley. He held a gathering with Rishi Sunak, who’s at present having a tough time on the helm.. The Prime Minister’s official spokesman stated: ‘He was making an off-the-cuff courtesy drop-in as a part of his journey to London, the place he’s conducting work of the Obama Basis..” • Oh, completely. Possibly Obama is aware of the place Kate is?

Democrats en Déshabillé

“The Democratic Get together Owes Us Some Candor” [Brian Beutler, Off Message]. From February. ” Current reporting suggests even previous colleagues from the Obama-Biden years can’t get straight dope from the folks operating the Biden re-elect. They need everybody else to assume that every little thing’s going based on plan. However it’s clearly not… That is why I’d nonetheless just like the Biden marketing campaign to be candid with the occasion rank-and-file about how we acquired thus far. Presumably being down two factors in mid-March was by no means a part of their plan. Why do they assume it occurred?Did Democrats make a mistake by treating Trump as if he’d entered exile, giving him vast berth to rehabilitate himself and smear Biden with out pushback? And if that was a mistake, how do they plan to repair harm executed over three years within the subsequent few weeks or months?” • “With out pushback” apart from a multipronged lawfare assault, together with an effort to take away Trump from the poll altogether below Secion Three of the Fourteenth Modification. “With out pushback.” Actually?

“How Really Present Democrats Run for Workplace” [Harold Meyerson, The American Prospect]. “Final week, the Middle for Working-Class Politics, along side Jacobin and Arizona State College’s Middle for Work and Democracy, launched a outstanding survey that went about answering this query in a means I hadn’t seen earlier than. They checked out all of the 966 Democratic candidates for federal workplace (the Home and the Senate) who ran within the 2022 midterm elections (primaries in addition to the November generals), studying all their web sites and data of their talks to see the themes, the platforms, and the phrases themselves that the candidates used.” Extra: “[O]n web page 13. the authors current the info on simply what number of of those almost 1,000 candidates, spanning all forms of districts and ideologies, invoked the themes and language of the cultural left. To nobody’s shock, a hefty majority of Democratic candidates devoted their consideration to the difficulty of abortion and the suitable to decide on. About one-quarter of them raised points regarding gays and lesbians, and a bit greater than 10 p.c these regarding undocumented immigrants. However on the opposite 40 subjects that to many People outline right now’s Democratic Get together—starting from reparations and defunding the police to open borders and gender identification—the share of Democratic candidates who had a lot as a phrase to say averaged below 5 p.c, and for plenty of these points, was a flat zero. Which raises a fairly vital query: How has the Democratic Get together come to be outlined by points and issues that its candidates and officeholders don’t even speak about? How have the Democrats turn out to be recognized with positions they don’t maintain?” • Mayerson’s reply is Republican propaganda, amplified by a criticism press. However there could possibly be different components….

Realignment and Legitimacy

“How Revolution Occurs—and Find out how to Cease It” [Tucker Carlson, Mordern Age]. “It occurred as a result of just one aspect of the revolution acknowledged that it was a revolution. The opposite aspect had no thought. One aspect noticed these adjustments for what they have been: Let’s fully change American society, from the underside to the highest. Let’s eradicate any sense of shared tradition or historical past. Let’s atomize the nation to the purpose the place there’s no viable opposition to what we’re doing. And as soon as we’ve executed that, let’s addle everybody with pharmaceuticals. Let’s encourage them to be unhealthy, single, and childless, after which we will do no matter we wish. And nobody’s conscious on the opposite aspect—which isn’t simply the suitable, however the huge bulk of everybody else, which would come with quite a lot of Democrats and simply regular individuals who aren’t in any respect within the revolution. They’d no thought what was occurring. It’s vital to know the second that you simply’re in. It cuts in opposition to the very core of human nature to know that, as a result of denial is essentially the most highly effective of all human instincts.” • Hmm. I wouid have stated that every one the revolutionary vitality is on the suitable. Revolutions will be reactionary, absolutely?

#COVID19

“I’m in earnest — I can’t equivocate — I can’t excuse — I can’t retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison

Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Normal Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).

Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be at liberty to contact me on the handle given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!

Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater reviews); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).

Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).

Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).

Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).

Keep secure on the market!

Covid is Airborne

Droplet dogma took us backwards?

In 1888, Massachusetts District Police inspectors monitored faculties and public buildings with a conveyable CO2 meter to test whether or not indoor air renewal was good. If not, the varsity was briefly closed to hold out air flow work.

It was codified, documented and enforced. 🔽 https://t.co/PtuAilLVcz pic.twitter.com/7ARV5DnJZI

— LET’S AIR / NOUS AÉRONS (@nousaerons) March 18, 2024

Maskstravaganza

Extra conversational suggestions:

Stranger: Why you carrying a masks
Me: It’s making me wealthy
Stranger: What
Me: My coworkers are sick on a regular basis. I don’t get sick, so I’m making shitloads of cash on extra time since I’m the one one who’s constantly accessible to work. Cool with me, I’m superb with retiring early! pic.twitter.com/NUmcbGrmsh

— 🐀 (@Guiness_Pig) March 16, 2024

Media

Loss of life Panel podcast goes after that horrid NPR story:

In our newest, we take a detailed take a look at a broadly shared piece from NPR which presents avoiding covid each because the product of unreasonable “nervousness” and as one thing immunocompromised folks ought to let go of lest their family members think about abandoning themhttps://t.co/vRrfdwNFOB

— Loss of life Panel (@DeathPanel_) March 18, 2024

Elite Maleficence

Readers, thanks a lot to your assist with getting a replica of “The politics of ‘letting it rip.’” Since I’m touring, right now will not be the day to return your kindness, however quickly. –lambert

TABLE 1: Each day Covid Charts

LEGEND

1) ★ for charts new right now; all others aren’t up to date.

2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”

NOTES

[1] (Biobot) Our curve has now flattened out on the degree of earlier Trump peaks. Not an amazing victory. Word additionally the realm “below the curve,” apart from taking a look at peaks. That space is bigger below Biden than below Trump, and it appears to be rising steadily if erratically.

[2] (Biobot) Midwest ticks up.

[3] (CDC Variants) As of Might 11, genomic surveillance knowledge can be reported biweekly, primarily based on the supply of optimistic take a look at specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice per week; semiweekly.” Appears like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.

[4] (ER) “Charts and knowledge supplied by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous 12 months, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.”

[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Nonetheless down.

[6] (Hospitalization: CDC) Nonetheless down. “Maps, charts, and knowledge supplied by CDC, updates weekly for the earlier MMWR week (Sunday-Saturday) on Thursdays (Deaths, Emergency Division Visits, Check Positivity) and weekly the next Mondays (Hospitalizations) by 8 pm ET†”.

[7] (Walgreens) Leveling out.

[8] (Cleveland) Flattening.

[9] (Vacationers: Posivitity) Now up, albeit within the rear view mirror.

[10] (Vacationers: Variants) JN.1 dominates totally.

Stats Watch

Housing: “United States Housing Begins” [Trading Economics]. “Housing begins within the US soared 10.7% month-over-month to an annualized fee of 1.521 million in February 2024, after falling by 12.3% in January, and beating forecasts of 1.425 million, amid a persistent scarcity of beforehand owned homes. ”

Manufacturing: “Boeing Faces Tough Steadiness Between Security and Monetary Efficiency” [New York TImes]. The lead: “Lower than 4 weeks after a gap blew open on a Boeing 737 Max 9 jet throughout a flight, firm executives face a thorny query: Ought to they emphasize security or monetary efficiency?” • I do know! I do know! Commentary:

In the meantime, the silence on Barnett’s loss of life from in Charleston Put up and Courier’s “good, quiet, little seaside group” turns into ever extra deafening, as six days cross and not using a followup story.

In the present day’s Worry & Greed Index: 69 Greed (earlier shut: 71 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 69 (Greed). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Mar 19 at 11:58:19 AM ET.

Class Warfare

Each day Beast]. “With simply 1,500 members, World.Minds is a concentrated collective of wealth and energy with a roster that features former Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and retired Gen. David Petraeus, philosophers Peter Singer and Daniel Dennett, and billionaires Invoice Ackman, Henry Kravis, and Alex Karp. Underneath its constitution, at the least 51 p.c of the group should work within the sciences to make sure that it doesn’t ‘devolve right into a enterprise membership.’ World.Minds doesn’t settle for membership purposes, its web site coldly states: ‘Except you might be a global scholar, don’t contact us. We’ll contact you.’ By no means thoughts that there isn’t a e mail handle or telephone quantity listed.” • Properly. with Geithner and Petraes on board, I don’t know what extra we have to know!

“Extremely-Rich Are Souring on Chicago’s Most Elite Neighborhood” [Bloomberg]. “The historic Gold Coast, that includes 100-year-old mansions, opulent condos and designer boutiques, has misplaced a few of its most illustrious residents and enchantment lately as town’s excessive taxes and crime inspired the rich to relocate. These staying in Chicago are choosing extra trendy properties in trendier areas, leaving Gold Coast properties sitting in the marketplace for months.” And; “Houses within the Gold Coast have been already struggling because of the repairs prices of the older ornate properties, and the expansion of different neighborhoods. Jennifer Ames, an actual property agent with Engel & Volkers Chicago who has a list within the space, stated a part of the problem is that whereas the properties are lovely, they require consumers to have a ‘curator mindset.’ ‘Take into consideration like Downton Abbey, proper? It’s tremendous cool, actually enjoyable to observe, however no person lives like that anymore,’ she stated.” • Can’t discover good assist?

Information of the Wired

“The US authorities appears severe about growing a lunar economic system” [Ars Technica]. ” Final 12 months, the protection company introduced it was initiating a research, LunA-10, to know how greatest to facilitate a thriving lunar economic system by 2035. In December, DARPA introduced that it was working with 14 totally different corporations below LunA-10, together with main house gamers similar to Northrop Grumman and SpaceX, in addition to non-space corporations similar to Nokia. These corporations are assessing how providers similar to energy and communications could possibly be established on the Moon, and so they’re due to offer a remaining report by June. Issues are transferring quicker than that, nevertheless. The DARPA program supervisor overseeing these actions, Main Michael “Orbit” Nayak, printed a paper earlier this month primarily based on learnings from these research that solely started just a few months in the past. ‘Based mostly on technical work and improvement carried out below the LunA-10 research, I’ve recognized six hypotheses the place, if revolutionary enhancements in know-how will be made, I assess {that a} direct acceleration to the fielding of a lunar economic system is prone to happen,’ Nayak stated within the paper.” • Since when did the horrid “learnings” substitute “classes”? Who did it? And who’s answerable for the nimbus of authority surrounding “assess”? The spooks?

Medium]. “With out stepping into the intricacies, seems, even for essentially the most well-trained of us, ascertaining the intercourse of a day-old chick was arduous. The chick’s rear finish had a constellation of folds, marks, spots, and bumps that exposed the intercourse of a chick. However, these have been extraordinarily arduous to learn. By some estimates, there are as many as a thousand totally different vent configurations {that a} sexer has to be taught to turn out to be competent at their job. And on condition that they need to make these selections in seconds, it turned even more durable to know how they do what they do.” And: “Seems, even essentially the most skilled sexers have been unable to clarify how they did their job. It was simply… an inexplicable artwork 😮. Inside 3 seconds, they only ‘know’ the intercourse of a chick. They noticed issues {that a} frequent particular person merely doesn’t see. Seems, tt’s a singular artwork, as a lot as ability.” Enter (after all) AI: “Within the context of the loss of life knell that’s AI, there’s a lesson to be taught from Rooster sexers. A marketer’s job is enunciating differentiation. If AI is a studying mannequin educated on what exists, it’s at greatest the highest 10% of what’s on the market. That’s the arbitrage for a marketer. If you wish to foolproof your job, it’s a must to beat the highest 10% of an AI mannequin. Good odds, if you happen to ask me 😜”

Contact info for vegetation: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a test in case you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me photographs of vegetation. Greens are superb! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary vegetation! If you would like your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it at the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize through the use of your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From TH:

TH writes: “I’m guessing not all of those are actual. Hopefully, some are. It’s this cheery assortment of flowers greater than the meals that pulls me to “Yellow Vase Bakery, Café, Flowers”. This one is in Malaga Cove (Palos Verdes Estates, CA).” Nature morte … However not totally!

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